Let’s try to explain our method to beat the bookmakers in a simple way, step by step. The first thing we need to know is that we are not going to talk about greens or reds or rainy day or random factors or gusts.
We rely only on facts, statistics and mathematical models to create our method to bet and win the bookmakers. You can take a look at thepelayos.com to know where we came from 😉
As some of you may know, bookmakers create (or buy from some suppliers) the mathematical models to assign the odds they must paid for each type of bet of an event. They use the same method as insurers do for their calculations to determine if we should pay 300 or 310 euros a year for our car insurance. Furthermore, they take into account the risk of losing money (that’s why the fees go up or down, but this we will see later) on every bet.
Let’s give an example in order to understand it better. Let’s see a Real Madrid – Barça match. Let’s say that the betting house “APUESTASBET” proposes to pay 1.95 the victory of Real Madrid.
Well, we have our own mathematical model (or algorithm) to know how much Real Madrid’s victory should be paid. Our model tells us that Real Madrid’s victory should be paid at 1.7.
In this case, APUESTASBET proposes 1.95 against 1.7 as it should be.
Thus, we know that we have an ADVANTAGE in the bet of victory of Real Madrid over Barça of 0.25.
But how does the method really work?
We have been preparing a whole system for years to:
1 – create our odds calculation algorithm
2 – build a dynamic database to analyze all market shares of the main bookmakers
3 – put in place a system to compare these odds by operator and sports event to identify the ADVANTAGES or opportunities
4 – Carry out TheCrackZ project to share it with all our followers and achieve the “Beat the Beast”
All right, you got it, but …
HOW TO EARN MONEY WITH SPORTS BETS?
Avoiding the temptation to delve into heavy statistical and mathematical concepts, we will explain it in a very simple and even exaggerated way only to understand it at a conceptual level. To do so, we will use the example of the coin toss.
In a theoretical-ideal scenario, both face and cross have a 50% probability flip outcome.
Let’s suppose that we bet 1 euro to face outcome, so that if it happens we earn 2 euros (the euro we bet + the net profit, another euro) and if it is cross we lose our 1 euro.
It seems obvious that in the long run we will tie, as we said in a theoretical-ideal scenario, after X spins, we will have won X * 50% * 1 € and exactly the same we will have lost.
Playing that way does not seem interesting, right? Well, now let’s imagine that you discover an default in the coin -what we have managed to detect these defaults in the odds of the bookmakers-, a deviation that causes the face to appear 60% instead of its corresponding 50%. What would happen? Logically we would have at the end of X spins:
X * 60% * 1 € (Net profit) – X * 40% * 1 € (Loss) = X * 20%
In this case, after X spins, you are getting a 20% return.
This is the mistake that betting houses make (not always, of course) and that we are able to discover instantly when it happens. And share it with you.
WHAT, HOW, WHERE MUST I BET TO USE THE METHOD AND WIN THE BETTING HOUSE?
Ok, let’s get back to the method. We cannot promise you that the first 10 bets that you make following our “TIPS” are winners (nor do we intend to, although we cannot guess the future). However, we promise that if you follow our method to bet and win the bookmakers, when you take about 200 bets (usually even before) you will obtain an average profit of 14 units.
From then on, you should always be profitable 😉
That is why we advise you to start with an initial budget of 100 units and make 100 bets of 1 unit (following exclusively our TIPS and verifying that the quota has not decreased).
For this we recommend opening an account in all the bookmakers where we have discovered the deviations so you can get the welcome bonus. To find out how to do it and take advantage of the welcome bonuses thanks to our offers and bonus codes, click here.
WHY OPEN A NEW ACCOUNT IN THE BETTING HOUSES?
Because thus, when creating a new account you will receive a welcome bonus. Mostly the bonus is around 50-100% of the deposited amount up to 200 euros.
Therefore, the 100 units you start with should become 200 units with the bonuses.
You can see all the offers and welcome bonuses of the bookmakers and casino here to take advantage of the offers with our bonus codes.